Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.172633 0.185355 0.198610 0.213467 0.229674 0.246837 0.266417
2025-04-27 0.153855 0.172938 0.193938 0.218842 0.247672 0.280118 0.319570
2025-05-04 0.139577 0.161650 0.186829 0.217836 0.255207 0.299069 0.354842
2025-05-11 0.128400 0.152262 0.180270 0.215821 0.260098 0.313890 0.384898
2025-05-18 0.119027 0.143971 0.173961 0.213021 0.263057 0.325692 0.411128
2025-05-25 0.115256 0.142052 0.175014 0.219018 0.276944 0.351607 0.456799
2025-06-01 0.108217 0.135456 0.169605 0.216142 0.278818 0.361632 0.481584
2025-06-08 0.102355 0.129942 0.165133 0.214011 0.281254 0.372186 0.507387
2025-06-15 0.095735 0.123032 0.158379 0.208294 0.278255 0.374818 0.521773
2025-06-22 0.091104 0.118484 0.154467 0.206114 0.279851 0.383723 0.545540
2025-06-29 0.088547 0.116565 0.153944 0.208500 0.287889 0.402118 0.584477
2025-07-06 0.084472 0.112354 0.150030 0.205815 0.288333 0.409263 0.606489
2025-07-13 0.081125 0.109088 0.147389 0.204972 0.291661 0.421242 0.637536
2025-07-20 0.079944 0.108810 0.148952 0.210343 0.304610 0.448715 0.695707
2025-07-27 0.076940 0.105776 0.146382 0.209372 0.307712 0.460911 0.729466
2025-08-03 0.073884 0.102522 0.143319 0.207451 0.309140 0.470399 0.759182
2025-08-10 0.070835 0.099141 0.139903 0.204781 0.309159 0.477486 0.785099
2025-08-17 0.070258 0.099371 0.141852 0.210500 0.322946 0.508098 0.855133
2025-08-24 0.067508 0.096232 0.138563 0.207757 0.322643 0.514833 0.882109
2025-08-31 0.065108 0.093526 0.135816 0.205725 0.323367 0.523289 0.912821
2025-09-07 0.062013 0.089647 0.131100 0.200271 0.317979 0.520662 0.922069
2025-09-14 0.059898 0.087200 0.128521 0.198191 0.318237 0.528017 0.951189
2025-09-21 0.058909 0.086457 0.128581 0.200468 0.326147 0.549594 1.010205